Saturday, August 26, 2006

Inside Straight Draw

Otherwise known as a Gutshot

A standard Gutshot has 4 outs.

From the flop (2 cards to come) there is a 16.5% chance of hitting it.
From the turn (1 card to come) there is a 8.7% chance of hitting it.

To put this in perspective :-
If the pot is 500, and he bets 100, then it costs you 14.3% to call (ie you could call this amount from the flop)
If the pot is 500, and he bets only 60 chips, then it costs you 9.7% to call. (Even for such a low amount from the turn you still get negative equity as there is only a 8.7% chance of hitting your out)

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